Singapore

Early warning systems for disease outbreaks play a crucial role in public health for management and contingency planning. However, most predictive modeling works focus on flat models that incorporate exogenous inputs (e.g. climate, demographics) to predict future outbreaks at different locations, but do not jointly model multiple spatial aggregation levels. 
In this paper, we introduce \emph{HierarNet}, a unique \emph{independent-interactive hierarchical} forecasting framework that aims to predict disease outbreaks at different levels of spatial resolution, such as provinces, regions, and nations. HierarNet consists of two main phases. In the \emph{local} phase, we train \emph{independent} forecasting models for all locations at all levels. In the \emph{global} phase, all models \emph{iteratively interact} with others across different levels via their hierarchical relationships under an \emph{ensemble} fashion to maximize their agreements. This \emph{global local hierarchical interactive} scheme makes HierarNet a highly effective and \emph{flexible} method (i.e. it can work with an arbitrary base prediction model and available exogenous data for each location independently). Extensive experiments are conducted on various disease datasets (e.g., Dengue fever, flu, diarrhea, and Bluetongue) in different countries (e.g., France, Vietnam, and USA) to show the performance of HierarNet compared to 19 state-of-the-art (SOTA) methods such as MinT, DYCHEM, WITRAN, SegRNN, TSMixer, PatchTST, or iTransformer. We also illustrate the \emph{generability} of HierarNet in other domains, e.g., web traffic forecasting.

AAAI 2026

HierarNet: Independent Interactive Hierarchical Disease Outbreak Forecasting

ml: deep learning algorithms

temporal or spatio-temporal data

ml: time-series/data streams

dmkm: mining of spatial

#### *Message from the General Chair, Aline Villavicencio*
I’m delighted and honoured to welcome you to the 19th Conference of the European Chapter of the Association for Computational Linguistics (EACL 2026), taking place in the beautiful city of Rabat, in Morocco, in March 24-29, 2026. EACL is the flagship European conference of the Association and EACL 2026 proudly continues our field’s tradition of excellence in scholarship, innovation, and inclusivity. I am deeply grateful to the many volunteers whose dedication, generosity, and tireless efforts have made this conference possible.
For the first time EACL is being hosted in the African continent. This is an important milestone for our community, and we are grateful to our Moroccan hosts for enabling this historic moment by bringing this edition of EACL to Rabat. We are also delighted that the Second Arabic NLP School is co-located with EACL. We hope attendees enjoy this wonderful opportunity to strengthen ties with the Computational Linguistics communities across the African continent. *[Read full message](https://drive.google.com/file/d/14NlmHvwM6fPJuMmOvVh7K0vtQbEyv3SZ/view?usp=sharing)*<br><br>

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EACL 2026

Welcome to the 19th Conference of the European Chapter of the Association for Computational Linguistics (EACL). EACL 2026 will be held in Rabat, Morocco, from March 24–29, 2026. 

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We are pleased to announce the Fortieth AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI-26), which will be held in Singapore EXPO from January 20 to January 27, 2026.

The purpose of the AAAI conference series is to promote research in Artificial Intelligence (AI) and foster scientific exchange between researchers, practitioners, scientists, students, and engineers across the entirety of AI and its affiliated disciplines. AAAI-26 will feature technical paper presentations, special tracks, invited speakers, workshops, tutorials, poster sessions, senior member presentations, competitions, and exhibit programs, and a range of other activities to be announced.<br><br>

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We are pleased to announce the Fortieth AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI-26), which will be held in Singapore EXPO from January 20 to January 27, 2026.

Roadway traffic accidents represent a global health crisis, responsible for over a million deaths annually and costing many countries up to 3% of their GDP. Traditional traffic safety studies often examine risk factors in isolation, overlooking the spatial complexity and contextual interactions inherent in the built environment. Furthermore, conventional Neural Network-based risk estimators typically generate point estimates without conveying model uncertainty, limiting their utility in critical decision-making. To address these shortcomings, we introduce a novel geospatial deep learning framework that leverages satellite imagery as a comprehensive spatial input. This approach enables the model to capture the nuanced spatial patterns and embedded environmental risk factors that contribute to fatal crash risks. Rather than producing a single deterministic output, our model estimates a full Beta probability distribution over fatal crash risk, yielding accurate and uncertainty-aware predictions--a critical feature for trustworthy AI in safety-critical applications. Our model outperforms baselines by achieving a 17-23% improvement in recall, a key metric for flagging potential dangers, while delivering superior calibration. By providing reliable and interpretable risk assessments from satellite imagery alone, our method enables safer autonomous navigation and offers a highly scalable tool for urban planners and policymakers to enhance roadway safety equitably and cost-effectively.

Beta Distribution Learning for Reliable Roadway Crash Risk Assessment

Nanoporous materials (NPMs) are suitable for solving some of the society's biggest challenges including carbon capture and conversion, storing hydrogen and methane, and sensing gases. The key challenge in discovering high-performing NPMs for a target application is that making and evaluating candidate NPMs requires performing resource-expensive wet-lab experiments. We consider the problem of discovering NPMs using existing experimental data of NPM evaluations. The overall goal is to find better NPMs than the best NPMs from the past experimental data. A simple approach is to create a surrogate model to match the objective values on the given dataset and employ it to score candidate NPMs to discover optimized NPMs. However, this surrogate model will fail because it does not have the appropriate search bias for the goal of optimization. To address this challenge, we propose a novel surrogate modeling approach that combines value matching loss with an optimization bias as regularizer. The key idea is to algorithmically realize search bias is to mimic the search behavior of monotonically increasing sequences of NPMs from the given dataset. Experiments on multiple real-world NPM discovery tasks demonstrate that our proposed surrogate model discovers significantly better NPMs than baselines including value matching surrogate model and one-step Bayesian optimization.

Nanoporous Materials Discovery via Search Bias-Guided Surrogate Modeling

A widespread social sentiment suggests our world operates like a "makeshift world" —a system rife with hidden incompetence. Is this perception an inevitable outcome of our information ecosystem? This paper presents a formal mathematical theory to answer this question affirmatively. We model belief dynamics as a system of interacting agents governed by two operators: (1) an Attentional Update Operator formalizing how negatively biased information is assimilated, and (2) a Social Aggregation Operator modeling belief fusion over a network. Our main contribution is a rigorous proof: under minimal systemic negative bias and standard network connectivity, the collective belief system is a contraction mapping, guaranteed to converge to a unique pessimistic fixed-point that perceives the world as incompetent, regardless of objective truth. This work establishes a mathematical foundation for understanding systemic perceptual biases with applications to platform design and policy.

The Fixed-Point of Distrust: A Formal Theory of Perceived Systemic Incompetence

For the past two decades, sustainability and carbon reduction have emerged as critical factors for data center (DC) design and operation.
A set of advances has been encapsulated in green DCs with the onsite generation of renewable energy and efficient cooling systems.
In this paper, we study how to apply Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) to optimize green DC operation. 
Green DC management is typically an infinite-horizon problem with exogenous stochastic input processes. 
We propose EA, a framework that applies DRL to the typical infinite-horizon problem without discounting.
EA approximates the infinite-horizon problem with a finite-horizon one. In this approach, it is important to avoid actions optimized for the end of the finite-horizon problem but inappropriate for the true infinite-horizon one. EA addresses this challenge by combining a stationary policy with the fact that green DC management has repeating patterns (e.g., daily temperature, solar energy generation, and workload). 
We apply EA to the management of a green DC with onsite solar energy generation and a hybrid cooling system that includes ``free'' cooling. Evaluation results show that EA successfully learns important principles such as delaying deferrable jobs to solar-rich times and gracefully maintaining inside temperature. Further, EA outperforms three state-of-the-art DRL algorithms, realizing the greatest benefits on days with high outside temperature and high solar generation. While we evaluate EA in the specific context of a green DC, we believe that EA is a promising approach for more general system management settings.

EA: Managing Green Data Centers Using Deep Reinforcement Learning Without Discounting

Graph neural networks (GNNs) excel at modeling graph-structured data but often inherit and amplify biases, leading to substantial efforts in developing fair GNNs. However, most existing approaches assume full access to sensitive attribute information, which is often impractical in real-world scenarios due to privacy concerns or risks of discrimination. To address this limitation, this paper focuses on graph fairness with limited sensitive attribute information, ensuring applicability to real-world contexts where current methods fall short. Specifically, we introduce an innovative fairness optimization strategy, propose a novel framework named FGLISA, and provide a theoretical perspective linking limited sensitive attribute information access to fairness objectives, thus enabling fair graph learning in real-world applications with limited sensitive attribute information. Comprehensive experiments on diverse real-world datasets and tasks validate the effectiveness of our approach in achieving both fairness and predictive performance.

Fair Graph Learning with Limited Sensitive Attribute Information

Detecting depression through social media is a complex task, as noisy user-generated content creates significant interference between persistent depressive patterns and transient emotional expressions. Two main challenges arise: First, negative mood indicators are not exclusive to depressed individuals, making it difficult to distinguish between pathological symptoms and situational emotional variations. Second, existing static models fail to adapt to diverse user expression styles and effectively filter out confounding noise from posts by non-depressed individuals. This results in conventional approaches either overfitting to superficial emotional cues or overlooking subtle long-term symptom progression. To address these issues, we propose the Adversarial Learning Enhanced Stability-aware Routing Transformer for Adaptive Depression Detection(ALERT), a novel framework integrating adaptive attention routing and adversarial learning to enhance robustness against confounding mood signals. Specifically, ALERT employs a stability-aware dynamic routing mechanism to annotate user-specific mood valence trends, providing a structured representation of affective progression over time. An adversarial learning module then leverages these mood-based representations to distinguish between expressions indicative of persistent depressive mood and variations in situational mood states, ensuring adaptability to diverse user behaviors. Experimental results on public social media datasets demonstrate that ALERT outperforms state-of-the-art methods in depression detection, effectively reducing false alarm from transient mood states and improving classification accuracy.

ALERT: Adversarial Learning Enhanced Stability-aware Routing Transformer for Adaptive Depression Detection

Hate speech detection on social media faces challenges in both accuracy and explainability, especially for underexplored Indic languages. We propose a novel explainability-guided training framework, X-MuTeST (eXplainable Multilingual haTe Speech deTection), for hate speech detection that combines high-level semantic reasoning from large language models (LLMs) with traditional attention-enhancing techniques. We extend this research to Hindi and Telugu alongside English by providing benchmark human-annotated rationales for each word to justify the assigned class label. The X-MuTeST explainability method computes the difference between the prediction probabilities of the original text and those of unigrams, bigrams, and trigrams. Final explanations are computed as the union between LLM explanations and X-MuTeST explanations. We show that leveraging human rationales during training enhances both classification performance and the model’s explainability. Moreover, combining human rationales with our explainability method to refine the model’s attention yields further improvements. We evaluate explainability using Plausibility metrics such as Token-F1 and IOU-F1, and Faithfulness metrics such as Comprehensiveness and Sufficiency. By focusing on under-resourced languages, our work advances hate speech detection across diverse linguistic contexts. Our dataset includes token-level rationale annotations for 6,004 Hindi, 4,492 Telugu, and 6,334 English samples.

X-MuTeST: A Multilingual Benchmark for Explainable Hate Speech Detection and a Novel LLM-Consulted Explanation Framework

Forecasting geostationary infrared brightness temperature sequences from historical observations is a significant and challenging task. 
By analyzing these predictions, cloud evolution, convective activity, and atmospheric radiative states can be revealed in advance, offering high potential value in domains such as weather nowcasting, energy management, and disaster monitoring. 
Recently, artificial intelligence techniques have provided valuable insights into this task. However, as a nascent research area, the lack of a standardized, high-quality benchmark has significantly impeded progress. Moreover, training existing deep learning models for this task remains computationally expensive due to the complexity of their network architectures and modeling mechanisms. To address these challenges, we introduce a new benchmark, FY4ABTSeq, and propose a lightweight prediction model, WavePredNet. Specifically, FY4ABTSeq comprises three sub-datasets designed to respectively evaluate prediction performance under short-term, medium-term, and long-term scenarios. Meanwhile, WavePredNet effectively captures multi-scale dynamics, including both low- and high-frequency components with low computational costs while delivering exceptional performance. Datasets and codes are in the supplementary files.

Efficient Forecasting of Geostationary Infrared Brightness Temperature Sequences: A Benchmark and a Lightweight Model

Road network representation learning (RNRL) has attracted increasing attention from both researchers and practitioners as various spatiotemporal tasks are emerging. Recent advanced methods leverage Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) and contrastive learning to characterize the spatial structure of road segments in a self-supervised paradigm. However, spatial heterogeneity and temporal dynamics of road networks raise severe challenges to the neighborhood smoothing mechanism of self-supervised GNNs. To address these issues, we propose a Dual-branch Spatial-Temporal self-supervised representation framework for enhanced road representations, termed as DST. On one hand, DST designs a mix-hop transition matrix for graph convolution to incorporate dynamic relations of roads from trajectories. Besides, DST contrasts road representations of the vanilla road network against that of hypergraphs in a spatial self-supervised way. The hypergraph is newly built based on three types of hyperedges to capture long-range relations. On the other hand, DST performs next token prediction as the temporal self-supervised task on the sequences of traffic dynamics based on a causal Transformer, which is further regularized by differentiating traffic modes of weekdays from those of weekends. Extensive experiments against state-of-the-art methods verify the superiority of our proposed framework. Moreover, the comprehensive spatiotemporal modeling facilitates DST to excel in zero-shot learning scenarios.

Dual-branch Spatial-Temporal Self-supervised Representation for Enhanced Road Network Learning

Supply chains are integral to global economic stability, yet disruptions can swiftly propagate through interconnected networks, resulting in substantial economic impacts. Accurate and timely inference of supply chain resilience—the capability to maintain core functions during disruptions—is crucial for proactive risk mitigation and robust network design. However, existing approaches lack effective mechanisms to infer supply chain resilience without explicit system dynamics and struggle to represent the higher-order, multi-entity dependencies inherent in supply chain networks. These limitations motivate the definition of a novel problem and the development of targeted modeling solutions. To address these challenges, we formalize a novel problem: Supply Chain Resilience Inference (SCRI), defined as predicting supply chain resilience using hypergraph topology and observed inventory trajectories without explicit dynamic equations. To solve this problem, we propose the Supply Chain Resilience Inference Hypergraph Network (SC-RIHN), a novel hypergraph-based model leveraging set-based encoding and hypergraph message passing to capture multi-party firm-product interactions. Comprehensive experiments demonstrate that SC-RIHN significantly outperforms traditional MLP, representative graph neural network variants, and ResInf baselines across synthetic benchmarks, underscoring its potential for practical, early-warning risk assessment in complex supply chain systems.

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